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Top 10 GOP victory slogans from Nevada 2012
1. "We beat Shelley Berkley -- we can beat ANYONE!" 2. "We beat John Oceguera -- now that takes skill!" 3. "We fought for the state Senate -- and the Democrats won!" 4. "We wanted the new congressional district -- but the polls were wrong!" 5. "Mark Amodei won -- take that Democrats!" 6. "We beat the Assembly majority leader -- and picked up no seats!" 7. "They have a Latino and a woman leading the Legislature, and we have two white guys -- we are the future!" 8. "At least Sharron Angle didn't run -- that's something!"
Few thought Reid would say nice things about Romney after the election
That was the poll question -- would Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid have anything nice to say about Mitt Romney, whom he pilloried during the campaign, after Nov. 6? Not so far. And site readers said overwhemingly -- 86 percent to 14 percent -- that it won't happen. Just under 300 particpated. There's a new question up about Gov. Sunny and Medicaid.
Dean Heller 3.0: Mitt who? I love POTUS
He hates Obamacare, but he has Obamalove. That's the latest incarnation of the ever-adaptable Dean Heller, the senator who just won election by 12,000 votes and now is marveling at the skills of the president who just won an electoral landlside. Couldn't he have waited a decent interval to make it seem like a gradual evolution and not pure opportunism?
A blizzard of post-election stuff
This will be a continually updating blog with facts, analysis and musings about Election 2012:
Crowing and eating crow about my Election 2012 predictions
Dean Heller would win by 1 percentage point. The president would win Nevada again. Steven Horsford would defy the polls. "Genius" is a word that is thrown around too easily these days.... In case you missed my predictions, they are here. My only real failing: I believed in the Democratic machine, but didn't realize the potency it would have down the ticket. The scorecard:
Too many Democratic deserters cost Berkley a U.S. Senate seat
I wonder, as she was riding in a gondola down the Grand Canal four years ago, perhaps gazing up at her luxury (but discounted) room, if Rep. Shelley Berkley ever thought: “This might be a problem.” I doubt it. But that congressional trip, which she led, with that ill-fated Venezia sojourn, may have cost her a chance at a U.S. Senate seat. Or not.
The five things we know about Election 2012 in Nevada
I tend to shy away from the “look at what we learned” thumbsuckers the day after an election. Overall themes often obscure underlying dynamics of individual races. The obvious often mashes the subtle. The results tell a story, but usually only part of it. There is a lot to say about what happened in Nevada on Tuesday – today and later – but only a few things are crystal clear: 1. Registration matters 2. The Republican Party is irrelevant 3. The Hispanic vote here is a growing and potent force 4. Labor matters
Reid: I love Dean Heller, always have, always will
No human has more chutzpah than Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, and he showed it again this morning during a DC gaggle with reporters. Here is his exchange with the Las Vegas Review-Journal's capital reporter, Steve Tetreault:
What to look for tonight
A handy guide for Election Night: Remember 70 percent of the vote will be known very early in the evening. Although we don't yet know what Election Day turnout will be like -- I estimate about 300,000 people will vote, about two-thirds in Clark County -- we will know some thing pretty early.
Whose voters are they anyhow?
One of the reasons the Republicans remain optimistic about Mitt Romney winning Nevada is that they claim they have banked high-propensity voters who will swamp the Democrats on Tuesday because the opposition is turning out its inveterates and will have little left for Election Day. This always seemed odd to me for this reason: Wouldn't a lot of high-propensity voters cast ballots early because they are, you know, high-propensity voters?